Race 2 - kingfisher | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.5

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Rachel Bartel & Meriah Kirschstein

University of Saint Thomas

0.60

+0.64

vs Predicted
2

Victor Johansson & Mathis Destouches

Purdue University

0.93

-0.54

vs Predicted
3

Ivan Shilov & Kelvin Zheng

University of Illinois

-2.77

+0.37

vs Predicted
4

Gwenyth Schimmel & Christopher Mayo

Western Michigan University

-3.04

-0.47

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.64

Rachel Bartel & Meriah Kirschstein

University of Saint Thomas

0.60

0.4%

1st Place
1.46

Victor Johansson & Mathis Destouches

Purdue University

0.93

0.6%

1st Place
3.37

Ivan Shilov & Kelvin Zheng

University of Illinois

-2.77

0.0%

1st Place
3.53

Gwenyth Schimmel & Christopher Mayo

Western Michigan University

-3.04

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Rachel Bartel	40.7%	54.9%	4.2%	0.2%
Victor Johansson	56.9%	40.1%	2.9%	0.1%
Ivan Shilov	2.1%	3.2%	50.6%	44.1%
Gwenyth Schimmel	0.3%	1.8%	42.3%	55.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.