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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+8.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+4.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+5.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+0.90vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+3.33vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.30-1.12vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.27+2.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38+1.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-1.76vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-1.78vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-2.52vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.06-2.31vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.54vs Predicted
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161.42-2.85vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.09vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.758.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University2.917.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy2.285.4%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University3.1811.9%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.384.8%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University3.3012.6%1st Place
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10.01Georgetown University2.274.5%1st Place
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10.26Bowdoin College2.384.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University2.926.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University2.405.5%1st Place
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10.69Tulane University2.063.4%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.9%1st Place
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13.151.421.6%1st Place
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11.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.772.9%1st Place
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11.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.052.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Zander King | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Henry Lee | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 24.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.