← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nilah Miller 33.3% 22.0% 16.6% 12.2% 7.7% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Alana Vodicka 4.3% 3.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 9.7% 14.2% 15.2% 17.1% 18.4%
Sarah Weese 3.0% 4.2% 4.6% 6.4% 6.0% 8.9% 11.8% 17.1% 18.7% 19.3%
Christopher Lucyk 7.3% 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 15.1% 15.6% 10.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.6%
Gavin Valentine 18.1% 19.9% 17.1% 17.8% 12.2% 7.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 8.6% 9.9% 9.8% 12.2% 14.9% 13.0% 14.5% 9.4% 5.2% 2.5%
Rowan Barnes 16.0% 18.9% 19.8% 14.6% 13.8% 8.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Simpson 2.3% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 9.7% 11.6% 15.0% 16.4% 24.8%
Sam Woodley 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.1% 15.8% 18.2% 21.4%
Pranjal Singh 4.3% 4.7% 6.9% 7.7% 8.8% 12.5% 15.6% 12.8% 16.2% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.