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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+3.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+6.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+5.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+3.10vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+4.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-0.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.29vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-1.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-1.59vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.27-3.41vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-4.55vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.35vs Predicted
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161.42-2.66vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.91-9.19vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Harvard University3.1810.9%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University3.3010.8%1st Place
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9.81Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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8.1Yale University2.927.4%1st Place
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10.69Tulane University2.063.3%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.285.3%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.758.3%1st Place
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11.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.053.7%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.5%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston2.385.7%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.384.1%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University2.274.9%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University2.404.6%1st Place
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11.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.2%1st Place
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13.341.421.8%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.917.4%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Zander King | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
| Henry Lee | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 24.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.