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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 12.2% 13.2% 13.3% 12.6% 9.3% 5.4% 3.6%
Nilah Miller 30.6% 23.8% 17.8% 12.7% 7.7% 4.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Valentine 17.8% 19.7% 16.8% 15.3% 13.7% 8.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 16.9% 18.0% 18.4% 16.3% 13.1% 7.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Christopher Lucyk 9.2% 9.8% 10.1% 14.1% 12.6% 15.8% 11.4% 8.2% 6.5% 2.3%
Sarah Weese 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 5.4% 7.2% 10.8% 11.9% 15.5% 19.0% 17.9%
Pranjal Singh 3.1% 5.2% 6.2% 8.7% 9.3% 12.4% 14.3% 15.7% 14.7% 10.4%
Matthew Simpson 2.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.0% 10.0% 15.2% 19.5% 23.7%
Alana Vodicka 3.8% 2.7% 5.2% 5.5% 9.0% 9.5% 13.0% 15.2% 16.8% 19.3%
Sam Woodley 2.4% 4.1% 5.5% 4.6% 7.0% 9.2% 12.7% 15.6% 16.3% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.