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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+8.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+8.18vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.56vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+4.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.61vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.36vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94-0.19vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-1.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.28-0.32vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.07+3.05vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94+2.02vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.69-5.30vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.95vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.76-8.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-11.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.81Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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15.02Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.78Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 6.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 37.0% |
| Matthew King | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 20.2% | 37.7% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Will Murray | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.