← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.18+4.95vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+7.72vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.56+6.97vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.77vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.42+7.69vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.30+0.16vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.38+3.35vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.82vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.68-0.22vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.06+0.84vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.92-2.75vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.38-2.53vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.75-5.59vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.22-4.62vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.27-5.08vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.94vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-5.49vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.91-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95Harvard University3.1812.0%1st Place
-
9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.284.7%1st Place
-
9.97Boston College2.564.5%1st Place
-
9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.4%1st Place
-
12.69University of Rhode Island1.422.4%1st Place
-
6.16Stanford University3.3012.2%1st Place
-
10.35Bowdoin College2.384.4%1st Place
-
11.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.9%1st Place
-
8.78Roger Williams University2.685.8%1st Place
-
10.84Tulane University2.063.3%1st Place
-
8.25Yale University2.926.2%1st Place
-
9.47College of Charleston2.384.9%1st Place
-
7.41Dartmouth College2.758.1%1st Place
-
9.38Tufts University2.225.2%1st Place
-
9.92Georgetown University2.274.1%1st Place
-
11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.4%1st Place
-
11.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.053.1%1st Place
-
7.97Brown University2.917.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Zander King | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.