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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+8.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.72vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94+8.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-4.17vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-0.93vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-3.67vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.86-4.84vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.12vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-5.29vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-1.12vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.28-6.26vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.65-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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15.13Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.33Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Matthew King | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 19.0% | 40.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 19.0% | 33.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.