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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+7.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+10.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.10vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28+1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-1.79vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.81vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.07-0.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-5.55vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.00-9.15vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.96Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew King | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 18.7% | 39.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 21.1% | 33.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.