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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+2.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.45vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46+0.85vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.07+3.86vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.28-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-6.89vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-7.16vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.94-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.86University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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15.0Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 18.4% | 36.9% |
| Will Murray | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.