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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.30vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+7.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+7.35vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+4.53vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+3.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.14vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94+7.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-2.38vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-1.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.54-5.30vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-3.98vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.28-4.51vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.45-6.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.00-9.19vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.07-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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15.01Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.69University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.4% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Matthew King | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 40.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Bastien Rasse | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.