← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.56+8.94vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+9.98vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.38+7.51vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.75+3.36vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.91+2.86vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.70vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.92+1.14vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.60vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.68-0.34vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.38-0.43vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.22-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.18-5.93vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.06-2.03vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.83vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.30-8.98vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.38vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.27-7.14vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island1.42-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.94Boston College2.564.2%1st Place
-
11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
-
10.51Bowdoin College2.384.0%1st Place
-
7.36Dartmouth College2.759.0%1st Place
-
7.86Brown University2.917.4%1st Place
-
9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.9%1st Place
-
8.14Yale University2.926.9%1st Place
-
9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.284.7%1st Place
-
8.66Roger Williams University2.686.0%1st Place
-
9.57College of Charleston2.385.1%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
-
6.07Harvard University3.1811.0%1st Place
-
10.97Tulane University2.063.2%1st Place
-
11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.1%1st Place
-
6.02Stanford University3.3011.6%1st Place
-
11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.053.4%1st Place
-
9.86Georgetown University2.273.9%1st Place
-
12.43University of Rhode Island1.422.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zander King | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% |
| Peter Barnard | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.