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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+6.47vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+6.08vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28+2.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+2.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.60vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94+4.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.10vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-5.30vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-5.24vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-7.46vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-6.88vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-7.17vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.07-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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15.18Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.7Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 42.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.