← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.73vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.65+7.07vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+4.02vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+4.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.28+5.25vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.35vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+4.34vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.50+1.30vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.75-0.69vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.67vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.50-1.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.07+2.95vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University0.94+1.88vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.69-5.65vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.46-5.43vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.66-7.18vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.78vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.00-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.73University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.07Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.02Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.25University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
9.3Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.31Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.33University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
9.61Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
-
14.95University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
-
14.88Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.35Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.57Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.82University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
10.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.19Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 37.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 37.4% |
| Bridget Green | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.