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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+6.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+9.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.63vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+2.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+1.80vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.12vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.62vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+0.99vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65+1.11vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.94-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-3.59vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-5.36vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-3.99vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-4.68vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-6.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.53-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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7.83Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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12.11Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Hawaii1.940.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.64Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| Owen Lahr | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| David Alexander | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.