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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+8.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+4.26vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+4.73vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.40+2.18vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+2.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.30-3.08vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56+0.13vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-1.57vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.73-3.94vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.35vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.68-6.39vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.92-7.97vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.28-7.55vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Harvard University3.1811.9%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.758.3%1st Place
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12.37University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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10.73Tulane University2.063.5%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University2.405.4%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.384.2%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University3.3012.8%1st Place
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10.13Boston College2.563.8%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston2.384.7%1st Place
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8.06Brown University2.737.3%1st Place
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13.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.8%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.686.2%1st Place
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8.03Yale University2.926.8%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.285.4%1st Place
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11.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Zander King | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 26.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.