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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+8.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+6.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+7.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+5.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+6.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-0.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.87vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.06+0.95vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.30-5.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-2.83vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-3.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.32vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-6.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.75-8.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.38-6.58vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.68-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37College of Charleston2.384.5%1st Place
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8.04Brown University2.916.5%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.9%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.225.2%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy2.575.5%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island1.422.9%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University3.1810.9%1st Place
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13.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.5%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.5%1st Place
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10.95Tulane University2.064.3%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University3.3011.3%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.405.9%1st Place
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9.79Boston College2.564.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.5%1st Place
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8.3Yale University2.926.9%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College2.757.0%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University2.686.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 28.4% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Zander King | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.