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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+4.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+0.07vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+2.59vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.72+5.29vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82-0.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-2.06vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-2.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.03vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-6.32vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-2.42vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.36vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Yale University2.7313.4%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.6%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.457.6%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University2.387.9%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.9%1st Place
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8.92University of Pennsylvania2.425.0%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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10.59Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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14.29SUNY Maritime College0.721.3%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University1.824.3%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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9.8North Carolina State University1.784.2%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston2.497.4%1st Place
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12.58Old Dominion University1.812.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.7%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.713.5%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin1.141.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 33.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.