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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.23+9.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.77vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.29+7.48vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+0.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.27+2.22vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.50+7.07vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.13+4.02vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-4.07vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-0.69vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.00-1.88vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-5.77vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.73vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-3.04vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-8.28vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College0.75-0.37vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-4.48vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.60-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.48Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University4.330.2%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.07Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.02Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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3.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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14.63Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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11.52Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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15.03Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Carroll | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Scott Furnary | 17.0% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| David Coplon | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| David Thompson | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ted Green | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Megan Magill | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 23.3% | 34.9% |
| Christian Geary | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.