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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+6.78vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+1.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+2.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+2.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67+3.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.90+1.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-0.78vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.09+2.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.70+2.14vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University1.06+0.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-3.10vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-6.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-6.09vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-4.59vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.07-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.66Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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10.18Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.9Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 23.0% | 21.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Shea Smith | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 16.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.