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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+1.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+2.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+4.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+0.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67+1.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05-1.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.90-2.39vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.43-1.88vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06-1.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.09-2.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-4.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.07-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.74Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.93Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.5Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 23.1% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| John Eastman | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Shea Smith | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 6.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.