← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.67+6.47vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.83+4.78vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.74+4.21vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.63+3.65vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.90+1.88vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.38+2.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10-0.98vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University1.06+1.65vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.69-1.58vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.05-3.64vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University-0.07+1.83vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.43-6.79vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.43-4.32vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.88-3.75vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.25-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.21Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.65Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.88Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
8.58Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.02University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
9.65Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.42Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.36Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
12.83Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
-
5.21Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.68Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
-
10.25Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
-
9.01Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Shea Smith | 7.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 12.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.3% |
| William George | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| John Eastman | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 53.0% |
| bella casaretto | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 11.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.