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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+4.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+5.41vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+6.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+2.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+0.23vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38+1.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83-1.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90-2.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.63-2.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-5.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.25-2.71vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.07-0.07vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-5.58vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.6Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.39Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.23Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.14Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.93Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 7.7% |
| William George | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Shea Smith | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| bella casaretto | 14.2% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 51.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.