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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+3.94vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.43+6.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+3.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+2.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63+2.74vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+1.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07+5.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-0.50vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90-2.31vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.38-1.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-1.90vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-6.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.88-3.79vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University1.06-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.31Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.79Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.64Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 14.8% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| John Eastman | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 50.8% |
| William George | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Shea Smith | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.