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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.75vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+1.88vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+1.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.71vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01-0.02vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+4.72vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.27+0.29vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-0.73vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.50+2.89vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68-1.64vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.75+2.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-3.09vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.23-3.14vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.60-0.13vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-4.54vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.13-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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3.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.2%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University4.330.2%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.98Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.72Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.06SUNY Maritime College3.000.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.89Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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14.68Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.87Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.46Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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11.09Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 18.8% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 15.2% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Philip Alley | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Julie Webster | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 34.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 41.8% |
| Christian Geary | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| David Coplon | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.