← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.74+6.22vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.43+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.67+4.50vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.25+5.04vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.05+1.32vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.38+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.83-0.10vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.63-0.28vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University0.88+1.26vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.90-3.16vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.69-3.44vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.10-5.72vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University1.06-3.11vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.43-5.70vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.07-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.22Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.84Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.5Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
9.04Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.32Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
8.62Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.9Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.72Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
10.26Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
-
6.84Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
7.56Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
9.89Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.3Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
-
12.71Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| bella casaretto | 14.8% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| John Eastman | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 11.2% |
| Shea Smith | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| William George | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.