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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+5.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.83+4.79vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.43+5.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+2.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90+1.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-1.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07+5.67vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.88+2.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38-0.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-1.94vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06-2.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.63-5.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-6.76vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.67-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.67Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.06Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.98Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.24Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| bella casaretto | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 48.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| William George | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.