Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mason Stang 16.4% 16.5% 14.3% 10.8% 10.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Jack Roman 9.4% 9.1% 11.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 8.5% 8.3% 9.6% 6.2% 4.4% 3.7% 3.0% 1.2%
Madeline Koelbel 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.9% 5.3% 5.5% 7.2% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 11.4% 11.0% 8.4%
Kyle Pfrang 10.1% 12.4% 10.0% 10.7% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 9.2% 5.6% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Nolan Cooper 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.2% 11.0% 18.1% 24.9%
Adam Strobridge 4.9% 3.6% 4.4% 3.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 11.4% 9.1%
Porter Bell 6.3% 7.6% 6.1% 6.0% 7.6% 9.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 5.4% 3.7%
Katharine Doble 11.9% 12.2% 9.6% 11.6% 8.7% 9.8% 8.0% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.2% 3.4% 2.6% 5.2% 4.5% 4.6% 6.5% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 10.0% 10.9% 13.0% 11.3%
Alex Adams 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 9.1% 8.9% 7.8% 8.7% 6.8% 9.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 4.2% 2.3%
Bryan Trammell 10.4% 6.9% 9.5% 10.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 6.8% 5.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.4%
Charles Bresnahan 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 4.9% 7.8% 10.3% 11.6% 14.7% 23.8%
Liam Lawless 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 9.3% 8.0% 9.6% 11.3% 10.7% 11.5%
Connor Rosow 8.1% 9.6% 9.9% 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 7.4% 8.0% 6.7% 7.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.