Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Pfrang 11.0% 13.8% 10.8% 12.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 6.8% 5.1% 5.6% 4.6% 2.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 5.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 9.3% 9.8% 11.6% 11.3% 9.6%
Nolan Cooper 3.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 4.4% 5.8% 7.3% 13.1% 15.9% 25.4%
Katharine Doble 10.6% 11.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 5.8% 8.2% 6.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Liam Lawless 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 5.8% 7.1% 5.4% 7.1% 9.9% 9.0% 11.3% 11.4% 12.0%
Porter Bell 5.7% 5.2% 6.1% 5.2% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 8.3% 9.3% 8.1% 8.7% 6.3% 5.4%
Mason Stang 17.9% 15.1% 14.0% 11.3% 10.2% 9.4% 6.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 5.3% 4.6% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 10.1% 8.6% 8.9% 11.9% 7.8%
Bryan Trammell 9.6% 7.7% 9.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 10.3% 8.7% 8.0% 6.6% 4.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
Alex Adams 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 7.2% 8.0% 8.1% 9.2% 6.9% 10.0% 6.3% 5.1% 2.0%
Connor Rosow 8.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 9.8% 8.3% 7.0% 8.8% 8.5% 6.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.8%
Madeline Koelbel 3.6% 4.6% 3.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.5% 6.9% 9.1% 9.3% 7.3% 9.4% 8.8% 10.6% 9.6%
Charles Bresnahan 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.0% 4.4% 5.6% 6.8% 10.0% 11.5% 15.4% 23.3%
Jack Roman 8.4% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.1% 10.1% 7.5% 6.6% 6.3% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.