Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katharine Doble 11.1% 12.2% 12.0% 11.3% 8.4% 9.8% 7.9% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 5.4% 2.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Bryan Trammell 10.5% 10.4% 9.5% 8.8% 10.3% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 6.1% 6.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Kyle Pfrang 12.3% 13.1% 9.4% 11.0% 8.8% 9.9% 7.8% 7.5% 5.9% 5.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 10.4% 11.5% 12.1% 11.0%
Jack Roman 7.7% 8.0% 8.6% 10.6% 8.3% 8.5% 8.3% 9.7% 6.7% 8.3% 5.8% 4.6% 2.5% 2.4%
Mason Stang 15.3% 15.3% 14.4% 9.4% 11.3% 8.7% 7.0% 6.0% 5.4% 2.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 9.0% 11.1% 15.5% 23.9%
Adam Strobridge 4.8% 4.5% 6.7% 4.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 7.0% 11.1% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 8.0%
Liam Lawless 4.5% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 5.7% 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 9.7% 12.4% 12.6% 9.5%
Charles Bresnahan 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.8% 10.5% 17.0% 24.7%
Connor Rosow 8.8% 7.5% 7.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.9% 6.8% 6.2% 4.7% 3.9% 1.9%
Madeline Koelbel 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 6.2% 5.1% 6.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 9.7% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6%
Porter Bell 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 7.7% 6.1% 9.0% 8.6% 8.9% 7.0% 7.6% 10.1% 6.9% 3.7%
Alex Adams 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.2% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.3% 9.9% 9.8% 6.5% 5.9% 3.4% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.