Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bryan Trammell 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 9.6% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 7.5% 5.6% 4.9% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6%
Kyle Pfrang 13.7% 10.8% 11.9% 9.8% 9.4% 10.8% 8.5% 7.7% 6.1% 4.2% 3.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Madeline Koelbel 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 6.0% 5.4% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 6.3% 8.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.4% 8.9%
Mason Stang 14.7% 15.8% 12.9% 12.7% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 2.7% 5.8% 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 17.4% 25.3%
Jack Roman 8.6% 7.3% 10.2% 9.5% 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 10.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.7% 5.0% 3.7% 0.9%
Connor Rosow 9.1% 9.8% 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 9.0% 6.5% 4.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6%
Katharine Doble 12.1% 11.8% 11.2% 9.1% 10.9% 8.1% 7.8% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.5% 3.3% 3.0% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 10.4% 9.3% 12.2% 12.1% 11.4%
Porter Bell 5.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 9.6% 8.3% 7.8% 9.6% 7.3% 4.1%
Charles Bresnahan 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.9% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 16.3% 24.7%
Adam Strobridge 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.8% 8.3% 8.1% 10.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 8.5%
Alex Adams 6.3% 8.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7%
Liam Lawless 3.7% 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 5.4% 7.5% 5.0% 6.0% 8.1% 7.3% 11.4% 13.6% 9.5% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.