Race 5B

sister-esther-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Roman 7.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 10.5% 8.2% 9.1% 8.3% 6.6% 7.0% 4.2% 4.7% 3.6% 1.6%
Kyle Pfrang 13.3% 10.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.9% 10.0% 7.3% 5.6% 3.7% 3.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Madeline Koelbel 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 8.1% 9.6% 9.8% 10.5% 11.1% 8.2%
Bryan Trammell 7.6% 9.9% 10.4% 8.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.3% 8.2% 7.7% 7.0% 5.9% 4.5% 1.7% 1.1%
Nolan Cooper 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 11.7% 16.7% 25.8%
Adam Strobridge 4.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 10.3% 9.2% 8.6% 11.2% 9.0%
Katharine Doble 11.9% 12.7% 12.4% 9.9% 10.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 4.7% 3.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.6%
Mason Stang 16.2% 16.9% 12.7% 12.7% 6.9% 9.1% 7.0% 5.4% 5.4% 3.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.7% 3.3% 2.7% 4.6% 5.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 8.7% 9.2% 10.9% 9.4% 13.5% 11.2%
Alex Adams 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.2% 8.9% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 3.7% 2.7%
Connor Rosow 9.1% 6.7% 9.3% 8.5% 8.5% 10.0% 7.9% 8.9% 8.1% 6.4% 6.1% 5.1% 3.8% 1.6%
Charles Bresnahan 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 5.7% 6.1% 7.9% 9.6% 11.7% 14.6% 23.8%
Liam Lawless 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 4.1% 5.5% 4.7% 5.8% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 11.3%
Porter Bell 5.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 6.0% 7.4% 8.8% 7.7% 8.8% 8.3% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.