Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Pfrang 11.5% 11.4% 14.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.1% 7.1% 5.5% 5.9% 3.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.6%
Mason Stang 17.7% 15.3% 13.2% 13.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.3% 3.9% 4.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Nolan Cooper 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 7.5% 11.2% 17.5% 25.1%
Madeline Koelbel 3.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 5.7% 7.5% 4.9% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 11.6% 10.8% 8.0%
Charles Bresnahan 2.1% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 7.7% 5.3% 8.1% 10.7% 15.5% 25.4%
Jack Roman 8.7% 6.9% 9.0% 9.4% 9.5% 8.4% 8.5% 6.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8%
Adam Strobridge 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 8.6% 8.7% 7.9% 11.4% 8.6% 8.4% 7.5%
Katharine Doble 12.3% 12.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 5.9% 6.6% 3.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Alex Adams 6.9% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 8.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.5% 7.9% 3.8% 2.6%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.4% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 7.5% 8.4% 7.4% 9.4% 11.3% 13.7% 11.3%
Bryan Trammell 9.2% 8.7% 10.0% 9.0% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 7.3% 7.5% 4.9% 4.0% 3.5% 1.1%
Liam Lawless 3.5% 4.1% 2.9% 5.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.4% 7.9% 10.0% 10.9% 9.5% 10.5% 11.2%
Connor Rosow 7.6% 10.8% 7.3% 8.3% 10.2% 8.9% 8.1% 9.5% 6.4% 6.9% 7.2% 4.2% 3.3% 1.3%
Porter Bell 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 8.3% 9.4% 9.1% 7.8% 6.1% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.