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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Adams 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 7.7% 7.3% 6.6% 6.5% 5.2% 4.9% 2.3%
Connor Rosow 10.7% 10.2% 10.9% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 9.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.4% 3.1% 2.5% 1.2%
Bryan Trammell 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 8.3% 7.2% 6.7% 7.7% 4.7% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
Connor Macken 7.0% 7.2% 9.1% 7.9% 6.2% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 7.5% 5.3% 3.3%
Liam Lawless 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.0% 6.7% 5.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.6% 8.9% 10.7% 12.2% 10.3%
Katherine McNamara 10.3% 9.4% 9.0% 10.6% 10.1% 8.1% 8.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 5.2% 4.8% 4.1% 1.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 13.0% 11.4% 10.7% 12.0% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.3% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.6%
Nolan Cooper 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.8% 4.8% 9.0% 11.2% 14.9% 24.8%
Porter Bell 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 7.1% 8.0% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 7.5% 9.0% 7.4% 4.9% 5.0%
Jack Roman 9.7% 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.5% 7.7% 7.3% 9.1% 7.3% 7.1% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1% 1.6%
Charles Bresnahan 2.4% 3.1% 1.8% 4.4% 3.1% 4.9% 3.4% 5.0% 7.2% 6.3% 7.0% 11.3% 16.2% 23.9%
Madeline Koelbel 5.1% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 5.8% 9.8% 8.3% 8.4% 9.3% 9.5% 8.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 5.5% 7.8% 7.5% 6.1% 11.3% 9.7% 11.9% 9.7%
Adam Strobridge 5.0% 6.3% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 6.9% 11.5% 8.8% 10.1% 7.4% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.