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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+5.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+2.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.84vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.15-1.64vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+2.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60-1.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.01-3.89vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.73-0.74vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.29-3.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.33-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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10.15Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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8.74Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Connor Macken | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 24.8% |
| Porter Bell | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| Jack Roman | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 23.9% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.