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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+4.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+3.66vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+4.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+0.99vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+1.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+1.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.31vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.14+1.12vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-5.19vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.20vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.73-9.49vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-5.96vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.72-2.73vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.81-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Brown University2.859.3%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.5%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.497.4%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University1.825.1%1st Place
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10.6Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.5%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.9%1st Place
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13.12University of Wisconsin1.141.7%1st Place
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7.81Cornell University2.386.6%1st Place
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8.8University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.7313.8%1st Place
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10.04North Carolina State University1.784.7%1st Place
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14.27SUNY Maritime College0.721.5%1st Place
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12.55Old Dominion University1.812.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 32.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.