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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.73+9.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.79+4.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+5.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+1.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08-0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.15-1.69vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+2.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-2.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.29-1.48vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.15vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-4.63vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.01-7.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.33-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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10.16Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College1.290.0%1st Place
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8.85Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bresnahan | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 21.7% |
| Alex Adams | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Connor Macken | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 24.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
| Porter Bell | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Jack Roman | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.