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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.15+4.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+6.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+2.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+2.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+1.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+1.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79-0.54vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+2.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60-1.52vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.29-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.33-2.65vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-3.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73-2.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.13Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College1.290.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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8.86Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Roman | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Macken | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Alex Adams | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 25.9% |
| Porter Bell | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.