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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+7.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.79+4.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+2.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.01+2.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+1.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+1.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98-1.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.29+0.36vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69+1.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.15-4.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.16-2.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73-1.82vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.33-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.8Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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10.38Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawless | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Alex Adams | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Connor Macken | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 24.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 23.3% |
| Porter Bell | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.