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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+3.32vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+4.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+3.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.25+2.52vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.17+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas1.72-3.85vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-5.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.14vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.43+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-2.78vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.07-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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6.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.66University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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8.35San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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4.15University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.42California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.83Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| George Soliman | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Noah Barton | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 10.3% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 55.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Matthew Beretta | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.