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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+6.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+5.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+2.34vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49+1.22vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10+1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32+1.33vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.57+1.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-0.96vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-0.97vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.01+0.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.69vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.60-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-2.90vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-9.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Stanford University3.1512.9%1st Place
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8.72Boston College2.025.8%1st Place
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5.68Yale University2.7313.5%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College2.386.8%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston2.496.8%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University2.104.5%1st Place
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10.33University of Miami2.324.7%1st Place
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11.91North Carolina State University1.572.6%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University1.984.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University1.592.8%1st Place
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13.83University of Texas1.011.7%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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11.35University of South Florida1.602.7%1st Place
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13.1University of Wisconsin1.092.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University2.409.1%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack Egan | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Matias Martin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 26.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Abe Weston | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 19.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.