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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.21vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.63+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.25+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.43+3.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas1.72-4.84vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.99vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.17-2.30vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.07-3.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.28vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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4.16University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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6.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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8.7San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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8.96Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.35California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Froelich | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Zackery Martin | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 12.7% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Dutch Byerly | 16.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 9.6% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.