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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.72+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.63-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.66+1.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50-1.63vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17-1.65vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.25-3.03vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.81University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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6.0California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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7.35San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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9.98California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted McDonough | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 17.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Will Cornell | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 2.9% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| George Soliman | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
| Noah Barton | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 9.5% |
| Zackery Martin | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.