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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+3.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+1.48vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.29+5.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.73+3.48vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-2.27vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33-3.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.99vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.13+1.19vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.230.00vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+2.92vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.41vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.50-1.01vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia3.01-6.51vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.68-6.37vs Predicted
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16Hamilton College0.75-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.85Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.48SUNY Maritime College2.730.0%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.2%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University4.330.2%1st Place
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8.99Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.19Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.0George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.92Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.59Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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11.99Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.79Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Devon Hofmeister | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| David Thompson | 20.1% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| David Coplon | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 23.0% | 41.6% |
| Christian Geary | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Gene Merewether | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Julie Webster | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 25.1% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.