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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+9.02vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+5.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+2.89vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-3.57vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59+0.93vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72+3.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.86vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.58vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.82-4.29vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-7.19vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.14-2.65vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.78-7.16vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Brown University2.859.8%1st Place
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11.02Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University2.386.2%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
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5.43Yale University2.7314.4%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University1.593.9%1st Place
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14.3SUNY Maritime College0.721.3%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.6%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.713.8%1st Place
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9.71George Washington University1.823.7%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston2.497.2%1st Place
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13.35University of Wisconsin1.141.6%1st Place
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9.84North Carolina State University1.784.2%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Will Murray | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 33.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.