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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.62vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.25+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.01vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.48+0.92vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.32-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-0.49-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-0.01-5.36vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.17-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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6.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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8.92Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.19San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.12University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.48California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 30.7% | 24.0% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 21.6% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.0% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael McCulloch | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 29.7% | 39.2% |
| Reilly Linn | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 24.3% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.