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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.25+4.83vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.49+5.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.37vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.48+3.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-0.01-1.19vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.54-0.72vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.17+1.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.32-3.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.70-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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2.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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9.09University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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9.13Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.28San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.58California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brock Paquin | 30.8% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
| Max Case | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Reilly Linn | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 26.0% | 47.7% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 27.8% | 38.1% |
| Grant Janov | 22.7% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.