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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.42vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+1.12vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.25-1.04vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.01-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.32-2.35vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.48-2.96vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.17-0.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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2.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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8.8University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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9.26San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.04Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.48California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 20.1% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 31.1% | 22.8% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Reilly Linn | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 25.5% | 47.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 28.1% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.