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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.56+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+1.36vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.48+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.32+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.71-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.43vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.54-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-0.49-1.70vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-5.16vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.17-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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2.87California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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6.43University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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9.36Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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9.49San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.3University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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12.57California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 19.2% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 30.4% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Max Case | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 26.4% | 47.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 27.1% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.