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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.54vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.54+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.32+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.49+3.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.00vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.48+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.62-2.99vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.56-3.80vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.82vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.17-0.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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3.32University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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9.13San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.07University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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8.89Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Texas0.560.1%1st Place
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6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.42California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 30.7% | 24.1% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 22.4% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 2.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Max Case | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 22.6% | 46.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 27.1% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.