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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+2.93vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.56+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.32+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.49+0.92vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.54-1.82vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.48-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.82vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.17-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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2.83California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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6.31University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.92University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.18San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.97Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.43California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 20.9% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brock Paquin | 29.2% | 23.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Max Case | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 27.4% | 38.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 22.7% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.