← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.45vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.39vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.25vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas0.56+1.25vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.62+0.05vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.48+1.68vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-0.54+1.03vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.74vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.32-1.39vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-2.17+1.53vs Predicted
-
12University of North Texas-0.49-3.00vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.66-3.70vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
-
4.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
-
2.75California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
-
6.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.25University of Texas0.560.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
-
8.68Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
-
9.03San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
6.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
-
12.53California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
-
9.0University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 19.7% | 23.6% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 31.6% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 22.9% | 48.3% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 28.6% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.