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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+3.56vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+3.80vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.24vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.70-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.32+2.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.56-1.87vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.480.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.66-0.50vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.54-1.90vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.17+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-0.49-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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2.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Texas0.560.1%1st Place
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9.0Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.1San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.52California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.85University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 31.9% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 17.3% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 24.6% | 47.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 26.8% | 38.6% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.